The pertinent question to me is how many modern tanks and actually trained tank crews does russia have? Certainly they have been holding back some production in a stockpiling process but is it enough? Has russia even solved the critical vulnerabilities exposed about its main battle tanks?
I think in order to domestically sell admitting defeat and backing down from attacking Ukraina, russia will have to find another target to attack and try to beat up as a distraction, what is unclear is whether it will be a competent military operation that experiences any degree of enduring success or just a pathetic distraction from an even larger pathetic failing.



Lithuania isn’t it?
My guess: they’ll get AfD elected in Germany, and then do a deal with them and Hungary to partition Poland again, for old times’ sake
A NATO EU country as distraction from Ukraine? Nah